Category Archives: Markets

Massive Opportunity In 2012, But Then Look Out Below

There are several long-term cross currents in the current U.S. stock market environment. On the negative side, measures of volume and participation of “smart-money” have been woefully lacking since the October 2011 bottom, and really since the March 2009 bottom. In his weekly … Continue reading

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Nifty Stock-Market Timing Indicator

No indicator works all the time in predicting stock market corrections. But some work better than others, and this obscure indicator from Yong Pan at http://www.cobrasmarketview.com has a high percentage success rate. The indicator is the Percentage Price Oscillator (PPO) of the … Continue reading

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Is A Bear Market Around The Corner?

A bear market may be some distance off. Probably the most important element supporting a sustainable rally in the U.S. stock market is the availability of credit. When credit is getting cheaper, it becomes easier and cheaper to apply leverage for the … Continue reading

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Market Surge Leaves Indicies In Risky Spot

Up 5% in nine trading days, the S&P500 index sits over its upper Bollinger band, typically a risky place to add shares and generally a good set-up for a sharp pull-back. The relative strength index also sits in overbought territory. Tomorrow is … Continue reading

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Expect Another Crash In The Stock Market

With U.S. short-term interest rates near zero (now popularly called the zero lower bound), and yields on longer-term government paper at historical lows, savers and the growing population of retirees are looking for better places to park their capital than the safe but low … Continue reading

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Apple Inc Is Getting Overbought

Apple (AAPL) looks overdone to the upside here. The stock is surging above its long-term channel and 10 week moving average lines. I’m not advocating a short position, but new buys should be postponed. This run is starting to look like … Continue reading

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$150 Oil Within Six Months

My inbox receives a  lot of junk email promoting investment newsletters; most such email gets discarded without review. A recent piece caught my attention, perhaps because the claim seemed so bold — $150+ oil by mid-year.  The claim (by Kent Moors … Continue reading

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